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Dear Readers,
Indian Armed Forces have been poised in offensive
posture on our borders for over 45 days now. Duly reinforced by
formations from as far as Eastern Command, all four of their Strike
Corps, I Corps against Southern Kashmir, II against Punjab, XI against
Punjab (Cholistan area) and XXI against Sindh, are in close proximity
of our defence positions. Their Air Force and Naval elements have also
been positioned very aggressively. With the culmination of the UP
elections in India on Feb 21, the danger should subside. BJP has been
using Pakistan as a whipping boy to get electoral votes and once the
issue is settled, the ‘invasion-to-be’ should become infructuous.
Pakistan has been forced, at some cost, to deploy its forces to
counter the Indian threat, this has offset the economic recovery made
during the last several weeks after the post-Sept 11 slide. Since
India has been propagating that Pakistan is a ‘terrorist-sponsor
nation’, the presence of President Pervez Musharraf in the Oval
office at the White House has exposed the Indian stance as not only
bankrupt but must be edifying for the Indian public. It should be
interesting to see how the BJP will reconcile this to the electorate.
I am taking the liberty of re-printing my article in THE NATION,
“BACK TO FRIENDSHIP” for readers.
Daniel Pearl’s kidnapping hitting the media
headlines notwithstanding, there is surprisingly a lot of warmth in
the US about Pakistan. This is a post- Sept 11 development. The quite
unnecessary pronouncement by Richard Haas about Pakistan being on the
way of being “a failed State” pre-Sept 11 was shocking, maybe it
was meant to satisfy an Indian audience but coming from the Head of
Policy Planning of the US State Department it was probably meant to
shock. For the record there is as much association of Pakistan with
terrorism as most other countries in the world, there being a fine
line between freedom fighters and terrorists. Not the fallacy India
has been desperately trying to project but one must accept that we
have made our share of mistakes over the years, in this day and age it
is no surprise they are coming home to roost. Wherever one went,
people knew General Pervez Musharraf by name, he was spoken of with
admiration. Everyone seemed to know that he was engaging in sweeping
reforms at great personal risk. They held him out as an example of
commitment to do the right thing. What they were surprised to hear was
that the process of change had been initiated earlier, only the speed
had increased manifold. More of a pleasant surprise was that
Pakistanis of all ilk were united in the premise that Musharraf not
only represented Pakistan’s best hope, he in fact was their last
hope. Used to the edifying sight of a divided Pakistani community
abroad, the contra elements were drowned out of contention and became
a fringe element. The President’s visit came at a good time for
Pakistan, for a change there was a receptive audience in USA for a
Pakistani leader. Since the rest of the world does more or less at
this time what the US wants, one expects a very positive fallout from
his presence in the world’s capital.
If Pakistanis who matter in the decision-making
process at levels below the President stop trying to be individual
prima-donnas and play as a team and for a team, we will be unbeatable.
In American Football’s Superbowl played this year in New Orleans,
the favourites were the St Louis “Rams”, almost no one gave the
New England “Patriots” even a semblance of a chance. Expert after
expert appeared on TV on all the channels to explain why the
“Rams” would win and win big, mainly because their offensive line
was unstoppable, the major betting was on the margin of victory. But
the moment the Patriots walked into the stadium, one instinctively
knew they would win. As opposed to the Ram’s Superstars being
presented to the spectators one by one, the Patriots chose to be
introduced as a team. And they played like a team, to win in a dream
finish in the last 7 seconds of the game, they countered the Ram’s
offensive brilliance by pure genius in defence play. India’s
diplomatic corps personnel actively seek appointments for Indian media
personnel on different TV channels and/or print media, our diplomatic
personnel on the other hand are actively engaged in sidelining
Pakistanis so as not to lessen the number of chances for their own
appearances. And being diplomatic, they can lie through their teeth.
Moreover their commitment is suspect, it is usually for private
agendas. A month or so ago, in a private party in Islamabad, I
personally heard a senior Foreign Service official rail against the
ISI for our Afghan problems, with such characters around India does
not need to do propaganda. He did not even know that the ISI is not a
career service and that none of the DGs ISI had ever served in the ISI
before being appointed to this post. We are very lucky that Musharraf
has developed into a media star, but can he carry the ball by himself,
and all the time? Americans love underdogs, particularly those who
stand upto bullies. In the last few months, India has overplayed its
hand, we are like David against Goliath. Against India we are the
underdogs, even though we are failing to exploit tremendous
opportunities by way of the media because of the selfishness and
individual agendas of our foreign policy and media prima donnas, no
wonder they sometimes find it imprudent to buck social acceptability
in reciting facts as they are. This in the face of Indian foreign and
media experts who have made it into a living by reciting facts as they
are not.
Very coincidentally, a new movie in the States
“Black Hawk Down”, is very representative of US-Pakistan
relationship over the years. Set in Somalia in 1993, based on an
ill-fated mission in Mogadishu, to capture Somalian strongman Mohammad
Farah Aided and his top lieutenants, a Black Hawk helicopter is
downed. The US Special Forces and Ranger units sent to rescue those
pilots are trapped themselves in the maze of streets. As a last
resort, the US Commander, Maj Gen Garrison, turns to the Pakistan
units of the UN to arrange a rescue mission. Actually it was the
Pakistanis (a squadron of 19 Lancers and a platoon each of 1 Baloch
and 15FF) who got the American soldiers out, the movie shows it very
grudgingly and sparingly. Incidentally Garrison had not thought it fit
to even inform US Maj Gen Montgomery, Deputy Force Commander of the
UN, about his mission before launching the operation. The way Ridley
Scott has portrayed it in the movie, instead of gratitude the sense is
of delay on the part of the Pakistanis in getting to the scene and
evacuating them to the Football Stadium where another Pakistani unit
was located. Sound vaguely familiar in real-life? We are the ones who
conducted and fought the proxy war in Afghanistan against the Soviets.
And it is Ahmed Shah Masood’s Northern Alliance who during this war
repeatedly negotiated a local truce with the Soviets, at least for 3
years. Then he took over Kabul from Soviet surrogate Najibullah thanks
to turncoat Rashid Dostum and his Jumbish militia who till then was a
Soviet-paid force. Masood’s short sightedness and lack of governance
resulted in anarchy that brought about the creation of the Taliban,
the Northern Alliance is now allied to the US and desperately trying
to change history. And all this while it is the Indians who supported
the Soviets in Afghanistan against the US as they did the world over
40 years until the Soviets ceased to exist. Where is the justice that they should command the attention of the US. Or do they? Is
it because of geo-political compulsions that they now seem to pander
Indian interests at the cost of our own? Well, there is a hometruth
that the US now belatedly recognizes, we are a geo-political
compulsion also and this man Musharraf has brought Pakistan
centerstage to US attention that our geographical location makes us a
linchpin that if removed will result in the many dominoes in the
region go tumbling down.
For
a military leader to receive the attention and respect he got in
Washington DC was unprecedented, particularly in this day and age. The
world’s democracies give a short shrift to dictatorship, it is the
stuff of destiny that less than 30 months from taking over from a
“democratic government” Pervez Musharraf walked into Oval office
of the White House, “ground zero” for the leadership of the world.
By any measure that is a remarkable achievement, both for the
President and for Pakistan. The President has now to build up the
momentum within Pakistan towards strict adherence to the rule of law,
particularly by the law enforcement agencies themselves, and ensure
that the measures taken towards ensuring good governance take effect.
Unfortunately Pervez Musharraf does not have the luxury of resting on
his laurels, very much like Atlas bearing the burden of the world, he
cannot shrug but keep going.
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