With the US demanding after 9/11 that its friends stand
up and be counted, Pervez Musharraf came through at
risk of personal life and limb, not to speak of the
credibility of Pakistan as an independent sovereign
entity. The weekend at Camp David recognises the Pakistani
President’s pre-eminent role (and performance)
as a US ally at a very troubled time, it is also a brilliant
US diplomatic sleight of hand meant to keep everyone
happy. While bestowing a rare privilege meant for the
most trusted of US friends, it avoids receiving a Head
of State still in uniform with all the pomp and show
associated with the White House. This mechanism assuages
domestic US sensibilities about democratic mores, externally
it salves India’s feelings in the light of the
developing US-India relationship.
Musharraf
expects the US to “reward” Pakistan more
for its still continuing support for the war in Afghanistan
and against the cells of international terrorism imbedded
in Pakistan. A generous US gesture is expected with
about $1.8 billion debt forgiveness (and some debt
re-scheduling) besides outright grant and aid, this
will shore up Pakistan economically and Musharraf
politically, mollifying those critics who feel Pakistan
has been short-changed. Trade bargains are also in
the works, these could eventually lead to a Free Trade
Agreement. The icing on the cake would be two squadrons
of F-16s to bring the PAF to a credible conventional
air defence campability. The relatively “small”
economic support that we did get earlier was a good
enough signal for other western donor countries as
well as Japan to give us succour across the board.
Pakistan’s economy became a net-gainer because
of 9/11, a few more days and we would have been in
the “default” category.
When
the protest numbers in the streets the religious parties
threatened did not materialize, their bluff was called.
The US is still using Jacobabad as a major staging
airbase for Afghanistan and the FBI support to our
law enforcing agencies against the Al-Qaida terrorist
network throughout Pakistan, duly coordinated by the
ISI, has been nothing short of spectacular as dozens
and dozens of terrorists have been rounded-up. As
a happy breeding ground of terrorists of all ilk (very
distinct from the freedom fighters within Indian-Occupied
Kashmir) Pakistan had become a haven for criminals
with a booming trade in guns, drugs and money-laundering.
A “rogue” State we were not but if Musharraf
had not done his 180 degree turn in Pakistani policies
(the advantages of dictatorship), a few more years
would have converted the present Indian canard into
a truth. We may have helped the US initially by the
“cleansing of terrorists”, actually we
have only helped ourselves. No nation can afford terrorists
as acceptable part of its society, however justifiable
the cause.
Notwithstanding
Vajpayee talking of “peace in his time”,
the present belligerent “take it or leave it”
India attitude towards peace is sheer arrogance born
out of their belated “deep” friendship
with the US, nearly three decades after Ambassador
Chester Bowles May 23, 1965 Memo spelt out a pre-dominant
role for India in Asia in containing (then communist)
China. When the US President annunciated the Bush
Doctrine on taking office in January 2001, he put
US priority as containing future strategic rival China
(now more capitalist than communist), India became
crucial to the US. As a brief hiccup in this long-term
US strategy, 9/11 converted Pakistan from a “pariah
status” to “a cornerstone of US policy”
in the region India sulked at being stood up once
again at the bridal altar. US is now pursuing a diplomatic
middle ground, one that wants India to emerge as a
strategic partner in the region, “but not at
the expense of Pakistan”, better said than done.
The US is on a perilous geo-political fail-safe line
here, leaning increasingly towards India (LK Advani
was received in the US as a long lost son, memories
being short of the 1992 anti-Muslim religious riots
he incited through his well-publicised “long
march” campaign to destroy the five centuries
old Babri Masjid at Ayodhya and causing the deaths
of more than 3,000 Muslims, mainly women and children).
In a recent high level seminar between Indian and
Pakistani politicians, ex-bureaucrats, academics and
intellectuals, etc the growing US Indian friendship
was flaunted before Pakistani eyes as the major reason
we should resign ourselves to our “Bhutan-ized”
fate. Musharraf has stated recently “we won’t
have peace imposed on us”, we have heard the
Indian message, and we will take our chances with
it!
Nevertheless
prudence demands that we get our convoluted policy
options straightened out. One of our grave weaknesses
is in international media perceptions about Pakistan,
our inherent politico-ideological contradictions are
mercilessly exposed by Indian propaganda, then force-multiplied
by an international media that is hostile to Muslims
railing against Israel and Jews, in whichever order,
without due cause. For Pakistan it is now essential
to mend fences with Israel, simply because we have
no reason to be enemies. If it was just a Muslim and
Jew thing, then why do Turkey, Egypt, Morocco, Jordan,
Qatar, etc. recognize Israel? The Palestinians have
a problem with Israel but we don’t and why should
be a hostage to the Palestinian destiny? Why are we
champions of Palestinian causes, when has Yasser Arafat
or (for that matter any Palestinian) ever mentioned
Kashmir as even a source of anguish for Pakistan?
Israel should take note of Yasser Arafat being the
first recipient of the “Jawaharlal Nehru Peace
Award”, Arafat and peace in the same breath?
While one hopes and prays the Palestinians get a lasting
peace with Israel for generations to come, “suicide
bombing” is certainly not the route. Why are
we hostage to the sacrilege of our religion by our
co-religionists? As a terrorist act it is against
the teachings of Islam, our religion strongly rejects
violent acts against non-combatant innocent old people,
women and children, etc. Israel reacts and the cycle
of blood and violence goes on. Previously Israel was
very focused on retaliation, picking out terrorist
with surgical precision, regretfully now the strikes
to take out Hamas leaders are more indiscriminate.
We are certainly aggrieved at the plight of Palestinians
but their fate was complicated by Arafat’s strategic
mistake in not accepting the Ehud Barak offer, incidentally
far better than the one now on the table. While no
one can countenance Israel’s violent reaction,
why do we have diplomatic relations with India where
anti-Muslim riots are endemic? Why indeed with Russia,
given what they have done and are doing now in Chechnya?
Why with Serbia, given their inhuman ethnic cleansing
of Mulims in Bosnia?
With
Palestinian PM Abu Mazan shaking hands with Arik Sharon
at Aqaba, all the Middle-eastern parties will come
together in a love-fest, Pakistan will be left out
in the cold as other Muslim countries follow Abu Mazan’s
example. Give the Israelis credit for scrupulously
maintaining the sanctity of the Dome of the Mosque
and Al-Aqsa even with periodical violence in the vicinity,
they have not taken it down brick by brick like the
Hindu fanatics did to the Babri Masjid. Such atrocities
can only be possible by those who have the “Swastika”
as their ancient symbol! The Jewish Diaspora have
a very valid reason to hate that sign.
The
great silent majority in Pakistan continues to support
the President despite their frustrations at some of
his politics and some of his policies. Musharraf is
very much respected abroad for taking some very tough
decisions for the good of the Pakistani nation. To
contain the proliferation of adverse Indian propaganda,
we have to recognize the reality of Israel, and survive
in the mainstream comity of nations without being
labelled as a “terrorist State” in first
world perception.