Some incidents and lessons from 1971 and
1973 Wars
Contributing Editor Vice Admiral (Retd) Iqbal F Quadir discusses lessons learnt
from the 1971 Indo-Pak and the 1973 Arab-Israeli wars.
Lately, there has been a fair amount of write-up on the 1971 Crisis in East
Pakistan and the 1973 Egypt-Israeli War. The following incidents, thoughts
and ideas could, therefore, be of interest for researchers, historians and
policy makers:
The 1971 Crisis
KM Kaisar the Pakistan Ambassador to China was in Pakistan from the middle
of February to 5 March 1971 with a personal message from Mr. Chou en Lai
the Chinese Prime Minister for General Yahya the President and Mr. Mujeeb
ur Rahman
the Awami League leader. But despite all efforts for almost a fortnight by
him and the Foreign Office for an appointment with the President he was unable
to or was prevented from doing the bidding of Mr. Chou en Lai in Islamabad.
The message amongst other things advised the two leaders to avoid a situation
that could only lead to benefit India at the expense of Pakistan. According
to Kaiser, he secretly met Mujeeb in Dhaka, courtesy Admiral Ahsan the Governor,
who showed willingness to defer to the wishes of one of the greatest friends
Pakistan ever had so far. But undaunted by the failure in Islamabad, on learning
of President Yahya’s visit to Karachi on 2/3 March, Kaiser took a chance
and was able to see Yahya onboard the PIA aircraft who told the Ambassador
to see him at 9:00 the next morning. According to Kaiser, at about 7:00 AM
next morning either General Pirzada or General Umar, he did not remember exactly
which one of them, telephoned him to inform that the President was too busy
and would be unable to see him. (General Umar does not remember any such incident).
That proved a sad end to the effort by a genuine friend to save Pakistan from
itself and its “leaders”.
On 5th March during my farewell call on DG ISI Maj. Gen. Akbar Khan (before
proceeding to take up my assignment as Army and Naval Attache in Paris) when
I mentioned Kaiser’s visit to Islamabad and his inability to meet the
President, he was very upset at not being informed earlier. Kaiser had left
Pakistan by that time. On 8 March 1971 during my farewell call on Admiral Muzaffar
Hasan, the C-in-C Pakistan Navy told me that a Major General visiting Karachi
sometime earlier had mentioned in passing to him that the Army would be ready
for military action in East Pakistan by the 17th of that month. This officer
I later learnt was the DG ISI Maj Gen. Akbar Khan. In 1978, a West European
Consul General in Karachi told me that during 1971 while serving in Dhaka,
on 11th March Mujeeb came to him with a message for President Yahya “to
be passed through his government” that he (Mujeeb) did not want a breakup
of the country and that he was willing to discuss possible solutions with the
President. According to the Consul General the message was passed in the manner
requested.
From above narrations it would appear that a certain group within GHQ had
a preconceived course of action ready about the future destiny of the nation
and being over confident of Pakistan’s strength the group proceeded accordingly,
even to the extent of preventing Chou en Lai’s message reaching General
Yahya. Army Intelligence, a separate identity from ISI, must have come to know
of the secret meeting between Mujeeb and Kaiser in Dhaka and informed GHQ of
it. Under the circumstances the group, unaware of Chou en Lai’s message,
would (from their point of view) have been suspect of Kaiser’s doings
with Mujeeb and the request to meet the President. The fact that DG ISI was
upset at not being informed of Kaiser’s presence in Islamabad shows he
could not be enjoying the confidence of the Group. Further, it raises the question, “Whether
General Yahya was in fact his own master?”
An important fact that has not figured in the Hamood ur Rehman Commission
Report or in any other published document so far is the fact that from April
1971
onwards Soviet Union started massive supplies of military equipment of all
types to India, by air and by sea, from its stock-piles in Egypt and from
USSR itself. This information picked up by this scribe from a friend in Paris
was
passed on to Islamabad in May 1971 and soon confirmed through contacts with
embassies concerned. The information obtained further indicated that the
Indian Army would have absorbed the new inductions; including latest tanks,
and be
ready for action in September 1971. Someone in Paris even went to the extent
of suggesting that Pakistan might act soon after the monsoons were over to
pre-empt India. Not knowing the records, it would seem no similar information
was received from other Pakistani embassies or sources and, therefore, the
report from Paris was not given due importance, passed on to other authorities
concerned or verified by other means.
To my mind, the most important military point that came out of HRC Report
and from what has been written above is the fact that Indians were able to
mask
their military intentions in East Pakistan so successfully that a massive
military invasion of that province from India, while being readied under
our very noses
from March/April 1971 onwards, was not given credence in Pakistan. All plans
except those that remained resting on paper only catered for stopping Indian
border incursions till it was much too late.
1973 Egypt-Israeli War
The compelling motivation for the Egyptian attack in Sinai Peninsula
in 1973 would appear to have been to rehabilitate the pride and morale
of the Egyptian
Army after its failures against the British, French and Israeli aggressions
earlier. The inability to browbeat Saudi Arabia under President Nasser
by an attack through Yemen must have been playing on Egyptian High Command’s
mind as well. There is no doubt that Egyptian planning and execution of the
strike across the Suez Canal was absolutely brilliant. The objectives set for
that war indicate how clearly the High Command and the Government understood
the limitations of their military power. Even the rehearsals for the attack
were planned in a manner that despite their open display they did not arouse
any suspicion either in Israel or in the United States of America. Military
planners would do well to study the Egyptian side of the 1973 War in greater
details, particularly of the pre-execution stage.
On Israeli side, suffering tremendous losses in the pride of its military
wing — the
air force; on the fourth day of the war, its government decided to start negotiations
with Egypt. But the United States, not willing to suffer either a loss of face
for its Policeman of the Area or what amounted to a failure of US supplied
air power against a Russian supplied air defence system decided to rush maximum
assistance to Israel in the form of more modern platforms, weapons, equipment
and trained manpower for the newer type of supplies. It was interesting to
observe at Paris airport hundreds of young American/European Jews, who even
in mufti appeared to be servicemen, proceeding of all things for holidays to
Israel at that time.
This turning point in Israel’s favour, its consequences were further
augmented by the good luck of Israel finding the dividing line between the
two Egyptian Armies East of Suez Canal unguarded and that too located at the
exact spot where the Israelis had marked a route for night navigation of armoured
vehicles from Sinai Peninsula to a crossing point over the Canal. A small force
of Israeli tanks having crossed over, finding no resistance on the West Bank
of the Canal, it was soon able to destroy most of Egyptian air defence missile
batteries that had inflicted heavy losses on Israeli aircraft earlier and prevented
their operations over Egyptian units East of the Canal.
For the skeptics of the reasons for US rushed aid to Israel, it may be
revelation to know that during the 1971 Indian invasion of East Pakistan,
when PAF made
an urgent request for a large quantity of drop tanks for Mirages; within
hours Marcel Dassault the manufacturer finding not enough available in
France, had
the first lot airlifted from Israel. While informing this scribe of the
direct demand received from PAF by them and their action, the No. 3 of
that huge
Company stated that the name of the aircraft, the Company and of France
against the
Russian built Indian MiGs was more important to them than anything else.
Later in that war, many in France thanked Pakistan for proving the superiority
of
their equipment when our Daphne class submarine HANGOR sank the British
supplied modern anti-submarine frigate KHUKRI off Kutch/Kathiawar coast
and damaged
another.
It must be added that the Egyptian success in demolishing the Barlev Line
and the myth of an invincible Israeli military structure, by achieving
its objectives
East of the Canal within a short period, provided President Sadaat and
the Egyptian Army an opportunity to go for a peace accord with Israel under
US
aegis at Camp David on an equal footing. At the time of Nasser’s death,
our then ambassador Mr. S K Dehlavi having earlier served in Egypt, had told
me that both Anwar Sadaat, the successor to President Nasser, and Sadaat’s
young protege Husn-e-Mubarak were in fact pro-Americans; but the manner in
which USSR had dispatched military stores from her stockpiles in Egypt without
first informing the Egyptian government, even if both were pro-Russian earlier,
they must have been deeply offended and aggrieved by the Soviet affront.
Finally, it is certain, had President Clinton handled the Kargil crisis
in a manner similar to Nixon’s of the 1973 Egypt-Israeli War and let both
Pakistan and India feel they had won; rather than humiliating Nawaz Sharif,
not withstanding the photo sessions in Washington later, making Pakistan the ‘bete
noire’ and giving appearance of an Indian victory; the political situation
in South Asia could have been very different from what one finds at present.
US and world interests, as well as those of the region, would then have been
served better. |