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Middle
East and World Peace Post Arafat
The
possibility of a permanent solution of the Palestinian
problem post-Arafat.
[SAEED WAHLAH]
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Yasser Arafat
addressed the UN in New York on November 13, 1974
and said, “Today I have come bearing an olive
branch and a freedom fighter's gun. Do not let the
olive branch fall from my hand. I repeat: do not let
the olive branch fall from my hand.” If the
leader nations among the international community had
acted promptly then, there might not have been rise
of Osama bin Laden and fall of twin towers on 9/11.
It appears that there is a direct and proportionate
connection between falling down of olive branch from
Yasser Arafat's hands in 1974 in New York and falling
down of twin towers in the same city in 2001. USA,
UK and Israel think that Yasser Arafat's death on
November 11th, 2004 has removed a hurdle in the way
of peace process. Many other countries, especially
Muslim countries, think that it is his 40 years-long
struggle and sacrifices of millions of Palestinians
that forced these powers to look for a peace at the
first place....more
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Seeking
South Asian Enlightenment
The
need for genuine rapprochement in the region based
on compromises on major issues
[Dr S M RAHMAN]
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In Hamlet, Lord Polinius tells his son, “To
thy own self be true”. South Asia, if conceived
as a single 'self', in a configurational sense, has
not been true to itself in achieving the quintessential
essence of 'being' - a vibrant regional community,
riding the path of enlightenment through a collective
paradigm of development. A realization has dawned
among the policy-makers concerned with development
that unless distributive justice is maintained along
with the economic growth, the accruing miseries will
have contagious effect to nullify whatever comes under
the glittering package of 'macro development'. A culture
of violence is an inevitable consequence.
It is not religion but political and economic injustice,
which forces people towards adoption of any means
for compensation. Call it terrorism or anything or
whatever you may like. Struggle for identity and independence
cannot be suppressed by labelling it 'terrorism'.
It is a bad diagnosis and equally bad therapy to quell
the uprising for seeking dignified existence through
military means. It is anachronistic. It has not worked
in the past and will not work in the future. No matter
how much military power is brought into operation,
the ultimate victor shall be the 'will' of the people....more
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PAF
begins to narrow the technological gap and some
PAF
has managed to catch up despite resource constraints
[Air Commodore (Retd)
JAMAL HUSSAIN ]
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The Early Era
PAF's reputation as a competent and professional
outfit has been built on the concept of a stringent
selection criteria and sound training standards.
Its superior performance in the two wars against
India especially in 1965 was a result of higher
proficiency level of its aircrew and a slight edge
in technology that it enjoyed till then (1965) because
of US military aid.
During the 1965 war, IAF had banked
upon its considerable numerical superiority to overwhelm
the PAF but the end result was very different. PAF
outperformed IAF in all departments, especially
in air combat. IAF analysts subscribed PAF's superiority
to the slight technological edge it enjoyed against
IAF. They concluded that PAF's possession of air-to-air
missiles and a single operational squadron of supersonic
mach 2 (twice the speed of sound) fighters and their
absence with the IAF provided PAF pilots with a
tremendous advantage and were demoralizing for the
IAF aircrew. IAF's numerical superiority was effectively
neutralized and proved of little avail in the conflict....more
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The
Kashmir Options
The
various issues raised by Gen Pervez Musharraf in an
informal talk to the media.
[MUHAMMAD IRSHAD]
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President Pervez Musharraf has invited
the nation to think loudly about the various options
that could help in resolving the Kashmir issue. Thus
he becomes the first Pakistani ruler to have declared
publicly that Kashmir solution through Plebiscite
was not possible, and if Kashmir issue was to be resolved
then second best option must be found. For a nation
that was told for more than five decades that “Plebiscite
was the only possible solution of Kashmir”,
it was really a big surprise. But it is amazing that
this latest suggestion by President , which is certainly
not in conformity of our age-long policy has been
received with enthusiasm and positive comments are
pouring in from the editorial writers and commentators.
Even those who opposed did it on technical grounds
and did not term the president as “traitor”.
It shows the measure of political maturity our opinion
leaders have attained despite being ruled by a uniformed
president....more
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A
true picture of economy
A critical
analysis of SBP annual report (2003-04).
[MEHMOOD-UL-HASSAN KHAN]
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The central bank of a country
always plays very important role to boast the
economy and lay down all the macro level policies
to keep all the essentials of development in
order. The State Bank of Pakistan being the
central bank of the country is also doing its
level best to draw the exact picture of economy
and its disturbing socio-economic trends which
may if not tackled properly hit the desired
goals of development. In its annual report (2003-04)
the State Bank of Pakistan warn the government
of emerging vagueness on the national and global
economic fronts during the current fiscal year.
The annual report of the State Bank (2003-04),
gives a fairly comprehensive assessment of the
economy for the year 2003-04 and outlines likely
trends for the current year. The robust growth
of 6.4 percent during Fy04 was not only substantially
higher than the 5.1 percent increase recorded
during 2002-03 but was also well above the 5.3
percent target for the year....more
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All
people are equal - Some are more equal than others
Treal
universalism preserves the best from all worlds
[RENEE SCHWALLER]
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As young children, my older sister
and I were temporarily put up in a boarding school.
At some stage my sister had set her sights on a new
electronic gadget and was keen to buy it. She asked
the lady in charge of my unit, whether she could have
the money that I had as well, putting forward the
argument that I “didn't need” it. The
money was of course not given to her, and I was advised
to spend my pocket money in time. Nowadays, my sister
and I get along nicely and I am able to safeguard
my own interests quite well. But the lesson is clear:
if you are not strong and mature and not able to use
your abilities and resources to the full, somebody
stronger is likely to be tempted to come along and
take advantage of you. Trying to be equally strong
or equally able or equally well-off than others not
only keeps us on our toes and helps to keep the economy
going, it is becoming more and more essential to survival.
The planet earth is becoming a little crowded and
resources are getting precious and much sought after....more
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Liberties
and Freedom of Expression
The
various freedoms and how they are being enjoyed by
different people in different regions.
[A RASHID]
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reedom of expression is coveted as
a means to achieving all the four freedoms enunciated
by US President Franklin D. Roosevelt in the State
of the Union message he delivered to the US Congress
on Jan. 6, 1941. Roosevelt stated these freedoms to
be “the freedom of speech and expression, the
freedom of every person to worship God in his own
way, the freedom from want, and the freedom from fear.”
Major part of the history of human civilization was
consumed by the totalitarian dispensations where the
rulers considered even the mention of civil liberties
as sedition and the irony is that due to the fear
created through constant state terror, even the majority
of the common people considered it a sin. The spectre
of censorship, as a term in English, goes back to
the office of censor established in Rome in 443 BC.
However honourable the origins of its name, censorship
itself is today generally regarded as a relic of an
unenlightened and much more oppressive age.....more
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Global
Economy
The
main potential risks
[SHAZIA MEHMOOD KHAN]
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It is predicated that five major
risks may threaten the global economy in the days
to come. Out of five major potential risks, three
belong/rest on the United States of America. Sustainable
sharp increases in the current-account deficit leading
to a crash of the dollar; a budget profile that is
out of control due to increasing allocation of funds
for military and fight against global terrorism and
an outbreak of trade protectionism especially against
China and EU are the major potential risks to US which
will ultimately badly affect the global economies.
The continued and sustained economic growth of China,
which faces a possible hard landing from its recent
overheating, is also a potential future risk/threat
to global economy. The fifth and the last not the
least is that oil prices could rise to $60-70 per
barrel even without a major political or terrorist
disruption, and much higher with one.
Most of these risks reinforce or interconnected each
other. Further oil shocks as expected or projected;
a dollar collapse and a soaring American budget deficit
along with rising interest rates would all generate
much higher inflation. A sharp dollar decline would
increase the likelihood of further oil price rises.
It is also estimated that larger budget deficits will
produce larger American trade deficits, and thus more
protectionism and dollar vulnerability. Occurrence
of any one of the five risks could substantially reduce
world/global economic growth. If two or three, let
alone all five, were to occur in combination then
they would radically reverse the global outlook.....more
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The
ghost of Kargil
How
to banish Kargil from our lives.
[MUHAMMAD MAHBOOB QADIR
]
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For the sake of developing a meaningful discussion,
let us agree that the course of history and the flow
of time can neither be stopped nor reversed. That
their evidence cannot be destroyed and finally both
do not prefer any favourites. The analogy ends here
with a major difference. While time is impersonal
and relatively universal, history is a record of mankind
and therefore earthbound. History is also sensitive
to disrespect shown towards her precepts and inflicts
horrible punishment upon default. Pages of the world
chronicle are filled with events that stand out as
milestones in the history of nations. Events, which
by themselves were so powerful or were prim e catalysts
for a chain of subsequent powerful events that changed
the course of nations and civilizations. Assassination
of the Grand Duke of Austria brought about World War
I. Invention of steam engine and gunpowder wrapped
up mighty Ottoman, Mughal and Chinese Empires allowing
Britain, France and Holland to colonise more than
half of the world during 18th and 19th Centuries.
Japanese attack on Pearl Harbour during World War
II not only eventually saw Japan's military might
humbled but a permanent US military presence in Asia-Pacific.
Congress's refusal to grant Indian Muslims the right
to a separate electorate within the Indian Union in
1940 firmly set the course for creation of Pakistan.
Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979 foretold the
eventual collapse of the gasping Soviet Empire. And
finally destruction of World Trade Towers on 11th
September 2001 qualitatively changed military-diplomatic
norms of powerful nations, pitting a Christian superpower
against an embittered and confused Muslim World almost
irreversibly; unipolarity standing out in all its
stark insensitivity....more
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Enlightened
Moderation
present-day
muslims need to come to terms with the basic premise
of our religion, moderation.
[SAEED WAHLAH]
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Finding themselves between the devil and the deep
sea, most of the Muslim countries presently are caught
in crossfire of terror and counter terror. Many royal,
military and non-representative governments of Muslim
countries are keeping their heads down, trembling
and crawling in the trenches, directionless, in a
hope to eventually move out of the rein of fire. But
the front seems to be too long in space and time and
too strong in fire and fury. The trenches are shallow,
muddy and zigzag. Rising population, poverty, illiteracy,
unemployment and non-participatory politics are breeding
ground for crime, violence and terrorism. Rising pressures
from the sole world power of the post cold war period
to curb the terrorist threat is like a hanging sword.
Political expediency and survival instincts of the
princes', kings and rulers in these countries are
insurmountable barriers. More importantly, self-analysis
and self-criticism normally precede self-correction
and self-direction. Enlightened moderation is like
peak of the Mount Everest. It is not only difficult
climbing there; it is extremely challenging to stay
there for long. But are there many options available?....more
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Leadership
qualities
Gen Sir Frank Messervy
The
various freedoms and how they are being enjoyed by
different people in different regions.
[M A GILANI]
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Introduction
General Sir Frank Messervy KCSI KBE CB DSO and Bar
was the first C-in-C of the Pakistan Army from 14th
August 1947 to 10th February 1948. He was a daring
and dashing leader, whose creed was always to move
to the sound of guns. He lived with danger throughout
most of the 4½ years during the 2nd Great War.
He was GOC 7th Division and Commander 4 Corps in
Burma during the 2nd Great War (from Nov '43 to Nov
'45) and I, as a young officer, had the great honour
of serving in both the formations. During this period
on few occasions I met him, heard him narrating his
exploits in the various battles of Middle East and
saw him meeting troops and watching battalion and
brigade attacks. The troops under his command trusted
him completely for his inspiring courage and brilliant
leadership, his humanity and his constant identification
of himself with fighting soldiers....more
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Turkey's
quest for EU membership
Whether
Turkey will ever get the membership
[ANSAR MAHMOOD BHATTI]
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The outgoing European Commission, in its recent report,
has recommended opening of accession negotiations
with Turkey though with the toughest conditions. This
particular report was long awaited since it was ultimately
going to pave the way for Turkey's European Union
membership. It's not an easy job nevertheless. It
involves a plethora of intricacies and a bunch ifs
and buts which are likely to put the Turkish leadership
in extremely hot waters, in the coming days.
In December 2002, the European Council agreed that
during its December 2004 meeting, it would decide
on the basis of the Commission's report and recommendations
whether Turkey complies with the Copenhagen political
criteria. The European Council also then decided that
if Turkey did comply with the criteria, accession
negotiations would begin without any further delay....more
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Time
to strengthen the Regional security groups
It
is time to concentrate on the region's security perceptions.
[FAUZIA QURESHI]
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“We must learn to live together as brothers
or perish together as fools.”
- Martin Luther King, Jr -
on Brotherhood.
Today we don't live in a more secure international
system as we had expected after the breakdown of the
bi-polar world. Neither peace nor stability were the
legacy of the end of the Cold War. The Bush administration's
predilection for unilateral action and its doctrine
of preventive war poses a profound challenge to the
existing principle of collective security. The international
community faces both intra- and inter-state conflicts.
The question arises as to how to face these new threats?
What should the states do? Is it time to turn to regional
security groups and do away with the United Nations?
Will concerns about sovereignty in the developing
world remain a barrier to regional and inter-regional
security co-operation?....more
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Terrorism
in Pakistan
The
emerging trends in this potentially dangerous development.
[THE
MILITARY ANALYST]
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Introduction
Terrorism was a virtually unheard of phenomenon in
Pakistan till the late 1970s and early 1980s when
coincident with the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan,
the US sponsored Jihad against the Soviets resulted
in the religious elements in Pakistan's NWFP Province
being pushed into the forefront of the armed struggle.
The large-scale provision of US supplied weapons was
instrumental in the militarization of the religious
groups and elements in Pakistan. Such widespread and
lasting was this militancy and its impact that even
today, after a lapse of almost a decade and a half,
Pakistan is still confronted with religious militancy
and terrorism that can be traced back to her support
of the US sponsored anti-Soviet jihad in Afghanistan.....more
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