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[- IKRAM SEHGAL -]
Iraq one year after

In its determination to create a modern Iraqi regime and society based on western values, the US is pitted against an anti-western and anti-American combination of secular Ba'athist and religious fundamentalist forces trying to sabotage these goals, their aim being to accelerate the exodus of US forces from Iraq sooner rather than later. More and more local groups and individuals not directly involved in this struggle and in agreement with the American vision and the progress it would bring, are increasingly swept with pessimism, questioning whether the US vision for them about their post-Saddam fortunes has any real chance of success. Questions in the US also are begun to proliferate, criticism about Iraq is fairly rampant. The quantum of stability which the US is able to instill will have a decisive impact not only on Iraq and on America's prestige in the region but may well decide who will be the US President in 2005. The time factor is becoming critical.

Efforts to rehabilitate the Iraqi economy have already led to the revival of the oil sector and are making a significant contribution in other sectors. The rehabilitation of the Iraqi security forces has not had the same success. The intelligence services are in shambles and unable to provide the real-time information necessary for fighting urban guerilla warfare. Acts of sabotage and terror are daily occurrences, the security situation in Iraq is deteriorating instead of stabilizing. Suicide bombers are involved in most of the attacks in the cities, making it difficult for the intelligence operatives to track down their origins. The urban guerillas are suspected to be mostly secular Ba'athist Sunnis, supporters of the previous regime, as well as radical religious fundamentalists, including fanatic volunteers from other Muslim countries. Latent internal rivalries among the Shias have surfaced post-Saddam but have yet to reach alarming proportions.....more
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NSC in position

Now that the National Security Council (NSC) bill has been passed by both Houses of Parliament, we should be able to get on with our on-off “democratic” life, the raison d'etre for electing our legislators in the first place. Given that the opposition did not allow themselves to be rolled over, they should accept, albeit grudgingly, what is now a law of the land. If they still feel so strongly about it, and they have the necessary numbers in Parliament sometime in the future, they can always repeal it! Using the streets agitation modus operandi inside of Parliament only strengthens the case of those who want an NSC-like buffer, after all if Parliament is to behave like a fish market, why bother about Parliament?

A school of thought maintains that the presence of the NSC destroys the supremacy of Parliament by giving the Armed Forces absolute authority over the elected bodies. On the other hand, the authors of the NSC bill argue that given Pakistan's sorry political history of governments being dismissed arbitrarily without completing their tenures, a mechanism to discuss the issues at an elevated decision-maker's forum instead of jumping directly to the ultimate recourse was required. One cannot argue with the democracy purists who hold that the NSC is a body super to Parliament, that is a fact. And given Pakistan's history of succumbing easily to authoritarian role, the NSC may very likely be the proverbial Sword of Damocles over Parliament. Given the penchant of our elected representatives to discuss anything but legislation, maybe this is not such a bad thing after all.....more
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Special Tribal Economic Zone

The Afghan Government finds Pakistan a convenient scapegoat for its failure to extend its fiat over rebellious warlords like Ismail Khan in Herat and Dostum in Mazar-i-Sharif, it uses Taliban and Al-Qaeda hostiles using the Federal Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) as sanctuaries as an excuse for its own shortcomings. Explicit threats of “hot pursuit” across the Durand Line are frequent, most recently by the US Ambassador (and Viceroy in all but name) to Afghanistan Zalmay Khalilzad (who has no love lost for Pakistan due to being largely ignored during the Afghan War). Ambassador Khalilzad has since denied this but such remarks are cause for considerable annoyance in Pakistan, which despite limited resources and political compulsions has been heavily engaged in trying to deny hostiles using our tribal areas as a sanctuary. The present military operations in South Waziristan is the fourth after 9/11.

Unfortunately what is patently a security matter is being portrayed as a war between infidels and Muslims by our domestic opposition, the political parties, deliberately exploiting this explosive emotional issue to achieve their vested interests i.e. destabilizing the government and derailing the present democratic process in the country. The component parties of MMA, with their religious influence and sympathies for the Taliban, have been opposing military operations. They hold that Osama bin Laden, Al-Zawahiri and other....more

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