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Contents - October 2003

Keep talking
We must continue the dialogue with India and keep hoping for the best.
[SULTAN AHMED]

In the years of the long lasting cold wars between India and Pakistan, meeting between their representatives at any level were too few, and the few were largely non-productive.

But in the year 2004 the meetings have been many, too many according to some, and at various levels beginning from the top when President Musharraf met the then Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee in Islamabad in the beginning of the year and set the ball rolling vigorously. The latest top-level meeting was between Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz and Dr Manmohan Singh in New Delhi.

After the two governments had earlier divided the disputes for which solutions had to be sought and identified areas where cooperation had to be enlarged, the foreign secretaries of the two countries have been meeting from time to time as agreed and reviewing the progress of those committees and coming up with path-breakers where there had been disputes, except in Kashmir. The foreign secretaries are to meet again on December 27 and 28 to review the progress of the committees and show the light where that is needed.....more

Simulating the next South Asian ware
The learning ground from the US military war-gaming experience.
[THE MILITARY ANALYST]

Introduction
The volatility of the South Asian region and the propensity of India and Pakistan to go to war has made South Asia a region of enormous global concern. This concern has gotten further intensified since the May 1998 overt nuclearization of India and Pakistan.

Analysts worldwide as well as in the US military have been war-gaming the possible outbreak of a military conflict in nuclearized South Asia so as to bring out the possible lessons and the courses of action that would be available to the US and other major players during the next South Asian War.

While it is true that these experimentations have been concerned more with the causes of the future war and less with its outcome, the analysis of these war-games brings out several lessons both for India and Pakistan.....more

Indian Army Doctrine
A nalysis of the new Indian Army doctrine.
[THE MILITARY ANALYST ]

Background
The Indian Army created quite a stir by announcing its ‘Cold Start’ doctrine2 early this year. It was also announced at that time that the draft doctrinal document was being disseminated to the various commands of the Indian Army for review and would be finalized in six months time. True to this assertion, the new Indian Army Doctrine was unveiled in the last week of October 2003.

The doctrinal document has been prepared in two parts; while the first part has been cleared for dissemination, the second part contains classified material and its circulation is planned to be very restrictive.

As per the announced plan, Part-1 of the document will be reviewed and updated every five years while the entire doctrinal document will be re-issued every ten years. The author has been able to gain access to the 70-odd page Part-1 of the 120 page document and has based this article on its contents....more

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